Friday, 3 December 1999 Washington, DC

1. BAD NEWS: LOOKS LIKE WE NEED AN ENERGY REVOLUTION.
According to a Science magazine article this week, the accelerating decline of Arctic ice over the past 46 years is most likely the result of human activity, rather than normal climate cycles. Based on the most advanced computer models available, the authors put the chance that the 46-year trend could be entirely due to natural fluctuations at less than 0.1%. Not only is the ice area declining, the remaining ice is thinning rapidly, according to another article. Since ice does not absorb solar energy as efficiently as open water, there is a strong positive feedback.

2. GOOD NEWS: WE MAY BE ON THE THRESHOLD OF AN ENERGY REVOLUTION.
A report released on Capitol Hill yesterday by the Northeast- Midwest Institute argues that utility deregulation, combined with replacement of aging power generators, provides a unique chance to convert to more efficient technologies and reduce greenhouse emissions. Lacking incentive to increase efficiency, regulated monopolies rely heavily on highly-centralized steam turbines with fuel efficiency of only about 30%. Combined cycle gas turbines (CCGTs) can double efficiency with far lower emissions. CCGTs now supply a mere 3% of U.S. demand, but they account for 88% of planned power plants. However, the full benefit will not be realized if centralized gigawatt power plants are simply replaced with CCGTs, for which the optimum size is only about 100 megawatts. Energy in the form of natural gas is about three times cheaper to transport than electrical energy. Rather than focusing on a particular technology, however, the report calls for incentives to be built into deregulation that will encourage innovation in generation and distribution.

3. OKLAHOMA: WHO CAME FIRST, THE GOVERNOR OR BABOONS?
As WN reported last month (WN 12 Nov 99), eleven biblical literalists appointed by Gov. Frank Keating to the Oklahoma State Textbook Committee, mandated that stickers be affixed to biology texts warning students that evolution is only a theory, since "No one was present when life first appeared on Earth." WN went straight to Genesis to check this assertion. Alas, we were quickly in over our heads. "And out of the ground, LORD God formed every beast of the field and every fowl of the air; and brought them unto Adam..." (Genesis 2:19:25). It sort of sounded like Adam was there first, but we called the Institute for Creation Research for clarification. "We're not biblical scholars," the spokesman explained, "we're scientists, but that's an easy one. The animals and man were all created on the sixth day, but the animals came first." In any case, WN believes no sentient beings were present when the textbook committee made its decision. Meanwhile, Gov. Keating declared he doesn't think he is descended from a baboon.

!!FLASH!! The Mars polar Lander is down, but no signal yet.



Bob Park can be reached via email at whatsnew@bobpark.org
THE UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND
Opinions are the author's and are not necessarily shared by the University, but they should be.