Friday, 8 October 1999 Washington, DC

1. CTBT I: PHYSICS NOBELISTS LEAD THE PUSH FOR THE TEST BAN.
A letter signed by 32 physics Nobel laureates calling ratification of the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty "imperative," was delivered to every member of the Senate on Tuesday. The letter, organized by APS President Jerome Friedman, called the treaty "central to future efforts to halt the spread of nuclear weapons." The Nobelists had been sitting on the letter for a year, waiting for some sign of activity in the Senate. On Wednesday, eight of them were present at the White House to join President Clinton and the Joint Chiefs of Staff in urging ratification. Charles Townes spoke eloquently for the physicists. Nevertheless, the 67 Senate votes needed to ratify simply are not there.

2. CTBT II: POLITICS PUSHES THE SENATE TOWARD THE BRINK.
Debate on the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty began today. If the Senate votes next Tuesday on ratification, as scheduled, the treaty will almost certainly be rejected, perhaps ending any hope of limiting the spread of nuclear weapons. It will be rejected, not because of any flaw in the treaty, but because both parties are seeking political advantage. Republicans are determined that credit for the treaty not go to President Clinton; Democrats see a powerful campaign issue if Republicans kill the treaty. Only two days are allocated to debate what is arguably the most important treaty in history, compared to the 25 days spent debating impeachment. Surely "the world's greatest deliberative body" can do better. In this afternoon's debate, John Warner (R-VA), Chair of Armed Services, and Carl Levin (D-MI), Ranking Member, are calling for a delay in the vote to avoid certain defeat.

3. CTBT III: AMERICA'S ALLIES URGE RATIFICATION.
Today's New York Times ran a remarkable op-ed signed by Jacques Chirac, Tony Blair and Gerhard Schroder. The final paragraph says it all: "The United States and its allies have worked side by side for a Comprehensive Test Ban since the days of President Eisenhower. This goal is now within our grasp. Our security is involved, as well as America's. For the security of the world we will leave to our children, we urge the United States to ratify the treaty."

4. CTBT IV: SEISMOLOGISTS SAY COMPLIANCE CAN BE MONITORED.
A statement released Wednesday by the American Geophysical Union and the Seismological Society of America expressed confidence that the combined worldwide monitoring resources provided for under the treaty, including 170 seismic stations, will meet the treaty's verification goals. A CIA report leaked over the weekend expressed doubt that the CIA could detect violations, which is almost certainly true--the CIA seems to have trouble detecting a lot of things. The treaty, however, establishes an International Monitoring System. As the President pointed out, the world will detect far more tests with the treaty than without it.



Bob Park can be reached via email at whatsnew@bobpark.org
THE UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND
Opinions are the author's and are not necessarily shared by the University, but they should be.