Friday, 17 September 1999 Washington, DC

1. CTBT: IS THE BIG PUSH NOW COMING FROM HELMS?
The prospect of having the test ban, which has strong public support, come up during the election campaign (WN 10 Sep 99). seems to have created a role reversal. Helms, hinting that he has the 34 votes to kill CTBT right now, is talking about a fast track with a vote before Congress leaves town in a few weeks, even though Majority Leader Trent Lott has been insisting up till now that the Senate should not rush to judgement on such an important matter. Now it's the Clinton Administration that wants to slow down a little.

2. MORE CTBT: ANOTHER SUSPICIOUS REPORT ABOUT NOVAYA ZEMLYA.
With a vote on CTBT possible, someone in the intelligence community leaked another report to the Washington Times about a suspicious event at the remote Novaya Zemlya test facility. The last time, you may recall, the tremor turned out to be in the ocean (WN 7 Nov 97). The Washington Times, which reported the August `97 "test," now refers to it as "a rare underwater earthquake." It's not known when underwater seismic activity became rare. This week the Washington Times carried another leaked story of an "event" at Novaya Zemlya. Maybe it was a conventional explosion, or an allowed sub- critical test, or even another "rare underwater earthquake," but the object is to imply that we can't verify.

3. BMD: CHINA TESTS MISSILE EQUIPPED WITH BASIC COUNTERMEASURES.
It is now just nine months until the promised deployment decision on a National Missile Defense (WN 12 Feb 99). But under the current testing schedule, it will not be known by the promised June 2000 decision date if the system can defeat even the most basic countermeasures. Now, the CIA reports that China has already tested its road-mobile DF-31 missile, equipped with penetration aids including decoys and chaff. These are the two most basic countermeasures and China is expected to share its technology with rogue states including Iran. Until the U.S. has tested NMD against such countermeasures it's difficult to see how the system can be certified to be "technologically possible."

4. KANSAS: MOVES UNDERWAY TO COUNTERACT SCHOOL BOARD ACTION.
Linda Holloway, the head of the Kansas School board that removed evolution from the curriculum (WN 13 Aug 99), says she no longer reads her "insult laden" e-mail. Maybe she should; a group of moderate Republicans has targeted her for defeat in next year's election. Meanwhile, the chancellor of the University of Kansas announced formation of a task force on science literacy in education; there are moves underway in the legislature to mandate the teaching of evolution and to limit the power of the school board. One state legislator is planning to introduce a bill that would require students to study evolution to be eligible for admission to a state university. That would also have consequences for students attending private religious schools.



Bob Park can be reached via email at whatsnew@bobpark.org
THE UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND
Opinions are the author's and are not necessarily shared by the University, but they should be.