Friday, 1 May 1987 Washington, DC

1. A STATEMENT ON SDI WAS ADOPTED BY THE APS COUNCIL
at its meeting last Friday following the public release of the Study Group's report on directed energy weapons (WN 24 Apr 87). The statement of the Council goes beyond the issues of DEW covered in the Study and concludes that, "In view of the large gap between current technology and the advanced levels required for an effective missile defense . . . It is the judgement of the Council of the American Physical Society that there should be no early commitment to the deployment of an SDI system."

2 . A PHASED DEPLOYMENT OF STRATEGIC DEFENSES BEGINNING AS EARLY AS 1993
was called for by Secretary of Defense Weinberger in a speech to the Commonwealth Club of California on Monday. His optimism clearly undimmed by the APS Study, Weinberger expressed his belief that "no major technical roadblocks will stand between us and the deployment of the first phase of SDI." The first phase he described would be a layered defense incorporating both space-based and ground-based kinetic energy weapons. Although he acknowledged that it would provide only a partial defense, he arrived at the remarkable conclusion that it would so dishearten the Russians that they would reduce their ballistic missile force. The entire history of the arms race would lead almost anyone else to conclude that Moscow would simply increase its missiles to offset potential losses to the KEW defense. A recent study estimates those losses at 16% (WN 10 Apr 87). Weinberger's speech was itself the first phase of a full court press for early deployment.

3. SDI CONTRACTORS AT AN AMERICAN INSTITUTE OF AERONAUTICS AND ASTRONAUTICS
meeting on Wednesday learned more details about the "phased deployment" from a six-member panel headed by General Abrahamson, Director of the SDI Organization. Abrahamson attempted to draw a distinction between phased deployment and early deployment. The first phase might come early, but "it is a step in a process building toward a long term goal." He spoke in terms of "milestones," with milestone 0 representing the creation of SDIO. He predicted they would pass milestone 1 in late June, after which the emphasis would shift from projects to systems.

Abrahamson was followed by Gen. Chubb, who referred to the "awesome progress" on SDI in the past year and described plans for a space-based component consisting of 650 weapons platforms, each with 15 kinetic energy interceptors capable of attacking missiles in the boost phase.

4. AN SDI BUDGET OF $4.5B WAS APPROVED BY THE SENATE ARMED SERVICES COMMITTEE
yesterday. That is below the $5.8B in the President's asking budget, but not as low as most people had expected and certainly not as low as it will be after it gets worked over on the floor of the Senate.



Bob Park can be reached via email at whatsnew@bobpark.org
THE UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND
Opinions are the author's and are not necessarily shared by the University, but they should be.