Friday, December 11, 2009

1. WARMER: THE TREND SHOWS NO SIGN OFF ENDING.

At the Copenhagen climate talks, Michel Jarraud, secretary general of the international weather agency, told a news conference that the period from 2000 through 2009 will almost certainly be the warmest decade in the 150 years of modern record-keeping. And with just a few weeks remaining, 2009 will likely be the fifth warmest year on record. But what about those hacked emails from the climate research unit at the University of East Anglia? Jarraud replied that there is no evidence that independent estimates showing a warming world are in doubt. The more interesting question is who was behind the break-in and why? The use of dirty tricks to cast doubt on the reality of global warming began with Kyoto.

2. KYOTO: THE PROTOCOL WAS ADOPTED 12 YEARS AGO TODAY.

It's awkward that the United States, alone among major nations, declined to ratify the Kyoto protocol calling for reduction of greenhouse gases. Without the United States, which is responsible for 1/3 of the world's greenhouse emissions, the Kyoto accord was meaningless. To convince Congress and the public that scientists have serious doubts about global warming, a petition was launched. The only return address on a massive mailing to academic scientists was a P.O. Box. The only name was Fred Seitz. A famous condensed matter physicist in his earlier years, Seitz headed the ultra-conservative George C. Marshall Institute in Washington. Seitz was also a permanent paid consultant of the R.J. Reynolds Tobacco Company. Although he conducted no tobacco research, Seitz used his scientific reputation to cast doubt on medical evidence showing that secondhand smoke is dangerous. Now he was doing the same for global warming. The petition mailing included a Wall Street Journal op-ed that said we have an ethical responsibility to burn as much fossil fuel as possible to get carbon out of the ground and into the air where it can create life. According to NBC news correspondent Ian Williams this week, the life C02 is helping to create in Malaysia includes the Aedes Aegypti mosquito that multiplies more rapidly as the temperature rises. Aedes transmits dengue fever.

3. NATURALLY: ALTERNATIVE MEDICINE IS IN THE HEALTH REFORM BILL.

Sen. Tom Harkin, the Iowa Democrat also known as Senator Bee Pollen, could not let the Health Reform Bill go through without a provision mandating that insurers reimburse alternative medicine providers. It was Harkin, you will recall, who was responsible for creation of the National Center for Complementary and Alternative Medicine (NCCAM), forcing Harold Varmus to resign as head of NIH. NCCAM hasn't found any cures, but it has done a credible job of using rigorous placebo-controlled double-blind studies to demonstrate that one herbal remedy after another is totally ineffective. Presumably the alternative medicine providers will be reimbursed for applying the placebo effect.

Bob Park can be reached via email at whatsnew@bobpark.org
THE UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND
Opinions are the author's and are not necessarily shared by the University, but they should be.