Friday, October 30, 2009

1. CAUSALITY: CALIFORNIA COURT VINDICATES THALES OF MILETUS.

For eight years WN has tracked the case of the infamous Columbia Prayer Study http://bobpark.physics.umd.edu/WN01/wn100501.html in which it was claimed that intercessory prayer doubled the pregnancy rate of women undergoing in vitro fertilization. It was, of course, a scam. A California physician, Bruce Flamm, thought Columbia should disavow the work, and the Journal of Reproductive Medicine should delete the clearly fraudulent paper; neither happened. The response of one of the authors, the wealthy owner of several fertility clinics in the US and Korea, was to sue Flamm for everything he had. Flamm never blinked. This week the Court of Appeals affirmed a lower-court decision tossing out the lawsuit. In doing so, the Court also vindicated Thales of Miletus, who in the course of explaining a total eclipse of the sun in 585 B.C. concluded that every observable effect has a physical cause.

2. CHINA: SOMETIMES, LESS IS MORE.

When China introduced its One Child per Family policy 30 years ago there were gasps of horror from the religious right. Although there were many exceptions to the one child rule, the policy was indeed draconian. The utterly mad policies of Mao Zedong left few options if a humanitarian catastrophe on a scale not seen on Earth were to be avoided. The result was an economic miracle and perhaps a human rights miracle as well. According to a new study by the London School of Economics for the Optimum Population Trust of Great Britain, the policy resulted in the avoidance of something like 300 million births - the population of the United States. The Chinese argue that over the long run their avoided births will contribute more to reduction of carbon emissions than any amount of carbon sequestration. They're probably right.

3. POPULATION: THE EXPERIENCE OF CHINA SHOULD BE A LESSON.

A paper in the Journal of Environment and Urbanization on Sep 28 points out that one sixth of the world's people are so poor that they produce no significant CO2 emissions. Is anyone surprised? The lesson many people have drawn from this is that because the poor are not contributing to global warming we don't need to trouble ourselves with their fecundity. Well, so much for trying to raise the wretched masses to a higher level. We must keep them poor lest they start polluting like the rest of us. What happened to raising them up?

4. CELL PHONES: CANCER IS THE ONLY THING THEY DON'T CAUSE.

A call to 911 on a cell phone saved my life when a tree fell on me, but I still refuse to carry one of the damned things. They are rude and obtrusive and they go off in my class when I'm lecturing - but they don't cause cancer. Yes, I know, there's another study that says they do. Cancer can result from mutant strands of DNA caused by radiation, but not by radiation in the microwave spectrum. It's not nearly energetic enough, and that's that. These are not studies done in a laboratory; they are statistical studies cooked from phone-company records and seasoned with a handful of celebrity anecdotes. Almost everybody uses a cell phone today. Is brain cancer a new problem?

Bob Park can be reached via email at whatsnew@bobpark.org
THE UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND
Opinions are the author's and are not necessarily shared by the University, but they should be.