Friday, January 11, 2002

1. NUCLEAR TESTING: WHATEVER HAPPENED TO STOCKPILE STEWARDSHIP?
In 1999, 32 physics Nobel laureates signed a letter bluntly concluding that "continued nuclear testing is not required to retain confidence in the safety, reliability and performance of weapons in the stockpile, provided the science and technology programs necessary for stockpile stewardship are maintained" (WN 8 Oct 99). The American Physical Society had taken the same position http://www.aps.org/statements/97_2.cfm. The United States has now spent tens of billions of dollars developing the necessary programs. Since no other country has this capability, the US would seem to have the most to lose by a resumption of testing. So what's behind the administration's position? While reliability can be ensured without testing, new weapons can't be developed. That's good for non-proliferation, but bad if, as is widely believed, the real agenda is to develop a new generation of mini-nukes, more powerful than conventional bombs, but in a much smaller package, for attacking underground bunkers.


2. THE MORATORIUM: WHATEVER HAPPENED TO CONGRESS?
A moratorium on testing, imposed by the senior Bush, has been upheld by both Republican and Democratic administrations for almost a decade. The irony of abandoning the moratorium in order to develop a new class of weapons to attack terrorists that would be ideally suited for use by terrorists is not lost. Yesterday, Rep. Edward Markey (D-MA) sent a "Dear Colleague" letter to other members of Congress asking them to add their names to a letter urging the President to pledge not to develop new nuclear weapons or resume underground testing. It would be good if all members of Congress heard from constituents, particularly scienctists, on this issue.


3. ARMS REDUCTION: UH, BETTER ON THE SHELF THAN ON MISSILES.
While abandoning the ABM treaty, the Administration announced it would cut nuclear weapons from 6,000 to 3,800. Now we find that doesn't mean reducing the number of warheads, just putting them in storage. Well, if warheads were always kept separate from missiles, it would be a safer world, but Russia isn't pleased. In related news, a new intelligence estimate that the US is more likely to suffer an attack with weapons of mass destruction by terrorists using planes, trains or trucks than by countries using long-range missiles. The new estimate will enter the debate over administration plans to spend $8B on missile defense this year.

4. YUCCA MOUNTAIN: DOE APPROVES CONSTRUCTION OF STORAGE FACILITY.
It won't end the debate. The political war is just beginning.

ERRATUM: WN is grateful to the many readers who took the trouble to point out that the iodine isotope of greatest concern in power plant accidents is I-131, not I-125 as we reported (WN 4 Jan 02).



Bob Park can be reached via email at whatsnew@bobpark.org
THE UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND
Opinions are the author's and are not necessarily shared by the University, but they should be.