Friday, 12 January 2001

1. NMD: "ROBUST" DEFENSE PLAN IS STARTING TO SOUND FAMILIAR.
A ground-based interceptor missile failed to kill its target, there were charges that contractors rigged tests, the GAO estimated the cost of a completed system at a staggering $110B and Congress was having second thoughts. The year was 1992 (WN 20 Mar 92). George Bush was President, the missile was the ERIS, and the system was GPALS (Global Protection Against Limited Strikes), successor to SDI (WN 17 May 91). It's all happening again. The failed test was of a puny ground-based defense against North Korea, which seems a lot less angry these days and doesn't have an ICBM anyway. A new test has been postponed to June, but why bother? George W wants a more comprehensive defense that would be ground, sea and space based. To fill out the picture, the backward- looking cold warriors on a panel chaired by Donald Rumsfeld, reminisced in a report released yesterday about space-power and high-frontier stuff that was big in the Ford administration. Rumsfeld reinforced his cold-war views at his Senate confirmation hearing yesterday, saying that China was more of a foe than "a strategic partner," that Taiwan was being threatened by a Chinese military build-up, that "the North Korean dictatorship was more interested in selling missiles than feeding its people" and that the ABM treaty is "ancient history." With a world view like that, no wonder he wants a Missile Defense. But that view isn't widely shared. Out of 20 key issues, the public ranks NMD 18.

2. BUSH SPOTLIGHT ON SCIENCE? THINK AGAIN.
Informed sources report that President-Elect Bush, at the urging of a close Texas technologist, plans to split the Office of Science and Technology Policy and appoint two separate presidential advisors, one for science and one for technology. Two prominent university presidents have reportedly turned down offers for the science advisor slot. No wonder! This prompted former GOP Science Advisors D. Allan Bromley and Edward David, as well as APS President George Trilling, to caution the Bush-Cheney team that cleaving S&T would be disastrous policy. WN Readers can weigh in by writing Vice-President-Elect Cheney at the Bush/Cheney Transition Office, 1800 G Street, NW, Washington, DC 20006.

3. THE PRIVATIZATION OF ARMS CONTROL.
The hostility to arms control measures within the Bush camp led CNN founder Ted Turner to team up with former senator Sam Nunn of Georgia to create a private foundation dedicated to reduction of the threat posed by weapons of mass destruction. Nunn brings enormous respect from both conservatives and liberals. Turner brings money -- lots of it. This suggests an interesting possibility: with the death of OTA in 1995, and now the prospect of an enfeebled OSTP, some enlightened mogul might consider privately funding an office that would provide science advice to the government.



Bob Park can be reached via email at whatsnew@bobpark.org
THE UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND
Opinions are the author's and are not necessarily shared by the University, but they should be.